Travel |Update|


Issue 264


1. Airline safety: India likely to seek more time from US
The civil aviation ministry is expected to ask the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) for more time to strengthen safety and oversight standards in Indian airports, after the US regulator raised concerns about the level of compliance with global standards in the country. A team from the FAA is expected to visit India in June for another inspection of the country’s airport facilities, but Indian officials said they would request the Americans to delay the visit by a month. The Indian civil aviation secretary, M Madhavan Nambiar, and the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) head Nasim Zaidi, are in any case expected to brief the US regulator about the measures taken by India to upgrade security and safety standards. “We would request them to defer their visit and extend it to July as a team of top officials from India is expected to meet them in a week or two,” said a senior government official, who wished not to be named. The official added that all requirements asked by the FAA cannot be met overnight. The FAA had earlier reviewed India’s compliance with global aviation safety standards and had pointed out several loopholes. Besides questioning flight safety standards, it had also expressed serious concerns over the manpower shortage in key functions such as safety and inspection. Failing to meet global aviation standards set by international civil aviation organisation (ICAO) could lead to Indian airports being downgraded by the FAA, which in turn could result in flights operated by Indian carriers such as Jet Airways and Air India to the US put under the scanner by American authorities. Indian officials say the main thing was the country’s commitment to improve standards, a process which had started. “We have started hiring technical personnel from airlines for the flight inspection directorate, especially on deputation and on a contractual basis. We have started strengthening our safety oversight mechanism,” the official said. The finance ministry has approved a proposal to allow the DGCA to appoint 426 personnel at various key posts in the regulating agency. The aviation regulator had to shut down its several directorates in the past on account of shortage of technical personnel.

Source: June 01, 2009, The Economic Times

2. No more privatisation of airports, says Patel
The government would not privatise any existing airports, civil aviation minister Praful Patel said on Monday, after taking charge of the ministry for the second consecutive term. Spelling out the likely contours of the aviation policy, Patel said, “We are not going to go for any more disinvestment or take the PPP (private-public partnership) route for any more airports.” This means a partial reversal of PPP-style modernisation of airports that Patel championed in his previous term as aviation minister, when he went aggressively to rope in private players in airport development as well as in airlines. This is being seen as a move to add muscle to the state-owned Airports Authority of India (AAI), though it will deprive the private sector from participating in modernisation and development of non-metro airports. AAI is currently developing two major airports of Kolkata and Chennai and 35 non-metro airports. The previous government wanted to privatise the Kolkata and Chennai airports, along with the Delhi and Mumbai airports, but backed off on strong opposition from its Left allies. The country’s passenger traffic is projected to touch 54.78 million this year and go up to 85.30 million by 2016-17, requiring massive investments in airport development. Patel also said the government would consider an initial public offer (IPO) for the state-owned carrier Air India in the near future, while he cautioned private airlines against ‘reckless expansion’ and ‘financial misadventure.’ The share sale would bring in much-needed equity to the loss-making company and make it more accountable, Patel said. About the IPO plans of the National Aviation Company of India Ltd (Nacil), which owns the Air India brand and is supposed to have suffered losses of Rs 4,000 crore in 2008-09, Patel said much will depend upon the state of equity markets. Even though Nacil has suffered record losses for the past three years, merchant bankers said the pubic issue can still succeed. The Sebi rules mandate that a company going for an IPO should have a track record of distributable profits for three out of preceding five years, besides four other key conditions. However, an exception is allowed to a company not satisfying any or all of the five conditions. Such a company would have to go through a ‘mandatory book building issue’, wherein qualified institutional investors (QIPs) need to subscribe a minimum of 50% stake being offered for sale, said SMC Capitals’ equities head Jagannadham Thunuguntla. Nacil, which was carved out after merging Air India and Indian Airlines more than two years ago, is in desperate need of funds. It is also struggling to integrate the two companies that have employee strength of nearly 33,000. The aviation ministry has asked the government for an equity infusion of Rs 1,231 crore and a soft loan worth Rs 2,750 crore for the troubled carrier. Sources said the finance ministry is apprehensive of granting a soft loan to NACIL, which at present has a paid-up capital of Rs 1,450 crore and an authorised capital of Rs 1,500 crore. “We will try to get AI the money from the government that has been promised, but I can’t speak on behalf of the finance ministry and neither can I comment on the (impending) Budget,” Patel said. While advising the private airlines to hunker down, the minister said Air India will carry out its largest fleet acquisition plan. Air India has placed orders for 111 new planes worth over Rs 45,000 crore. Patel said he would be ‘happy to associate with the national carrier for another five years’, adding that ‘time and history’ would tell whether the merger of Air India and Indian Airlines was a right decision. “These are testing times and everybody will have to rise to the occasion,” he said.

Source: June 02, 2009, The Financial Express

3. Kingfisher gets Rs 2,000 cr funding from banks
Vijay Mallya-promoted Kingfisher Airlines has got crucial funding of Rs 2,000 crore from State Bank of India and a consortium of other banks to meet working capital requirements. While Rs 950 crore has been given by State Bank of India, the rest of the amount has been arranged from Bank of India, Bank of Barocla and Punjab National Bank, according to sources. When contacted, the company spokesperson said: "Fund raising is an ongoing process and because we are bound by confidentiality/non disclosure agreements, it will be inappropriate to comment at this stage". Earlier this year, the airline's parent company United Breweries Holdings had sought shareholders' approval to authorise the board to provide corporate guarantee worth up to Rs 12,000 crore to lenders of UBH's subsidiary Kingfisher Airlines (KFA), by pledging shares and mortgaging its movable and immovable properties. Kingfisher has also been targeting an equity infusion of around Rs 2,000 crore through strategic and financial investors. The equity investment will be used to de-leverage the balance sheet, the company told investors in January. The large part of the funding, raised from SBI and other banks, could go towards clearing of fuel bills ; of the airline and other airport related charges. The Indian aviation industry has been struggling with the availability of credit as banks have been reluctant to lend to airlines on account for falling passenger traffic and losses suffered by "them in the recent past. Kingfisher operates services to 69 cities currently with a fleet of 75 aircraft with around 400 flights a day. It covers all segments off air travel from low fares to premium service.

Source: June 05, 2009, The Financial World

4. United Airlines bucks trend with big plane order
United Airlines has sought bids from the two largest plane-makers for a 150-jet order, possibly jump-starting demand from embattled U.S. carriers as the industry wades through an economic recession, a source with direct knowledge of the request said on Thursday. United, a unit of UAL Corp, has solicited the competing bids from Boeing Co and its European rival Airbus, the source said. The top bid would win the entire order. UAL, Boeing and Airbus declined to comment. United has not ordered new aircraft since 1998, and the average age of its fleet is 13 years. US airlines lag foreign rivals in fleet replenishment, and some experts say the carriers are suffering as they fly outdated planes that burn more fuel than modern aircraft. Most airlines are shedding capacity to cope with a steep fall in demand, and many have deferred orders to conserve cash and in the absence of financing for final delivery payments. The head of global airlines body IATA told Reuters earlier that plane orders could fall 30 percent in 2010. The possible contest at United echoes an epic battle between Boeing and Airbus, then a relative newcomer to the US market, in 1992 at the cusp of another economic and industry recession. The battle saw United break its reliance on Boeing and opt for dozens of Airbus aircraft for domestic routes. That sparked a rethink that helped push the US plane maker into modernizing its 737 short-haul plane, now the world's most-sold aircraft.

Source: June 05, 2009, The Indian Express

5. Indian Airlines flies into heavy flak
The major reason for the dislocation of air schedule in Indian Airlines is the unprecedented growth of traffic during the last one year, when the number of passengers transported increased from 4.37 million in 1977-78 to 5.3 million in 1978-79. This growth has exerted a tremendous pressure on air and ground facilities," says Air Chief Marshal (retd.) P.C. Lai, joint chairman of Air India and Indian Airlines. Growth in Indian air traffic over the past few years has led to capacity expansion. Passenger traffic at Indian airports is set to grow at 15 per cent annually, from 102.73 million in 2008 to 290.19 million by 2014. But AAI's growth forecast has lately been toned down to 6 percent. National Aviation Company of India has almost doubled its losses for 2008-09 to Rs4,000 crore from Rs2,226 crore in 2007-08.

Source: June 05, 2009, Business India

6. Airline industry losses set to rise: IATA
Losses from the world’s airlines will be worse than forecast this year and will cause a knock-on effect on suppliers, with Boeing and Airbus orders next year looking to be down 30 per cent, the industry’s top body said on Thursday. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) Managing Director, Mr Giovanni Bisignani, told Reuters in an interview that the body would revise its forecast of $4.7 billion of losses at its annual meeting on Monday. “We are going to revise them for the worse because the numbers we have seen in passengers and in freight are not showing any improvement,” Mr Bisignani said, adding that it would take 3-4 years before revenues recovered to pre-crisis levels. The industry lost $8 billion in 2008. “Freight has probably touched the bottom, it is minus 21 per cent (year-on-year) since the last two or three months... but we do not see any kind of improvement. But the passenger (sector) where we generate 90 per cent of our revenues is still roughly 10 per cent down,” he said. Airlines carry 38 per cent of the world’s freight traffic and demand has been hit hard by the downturn that is expected to see global output fall by 1.3 per cent, according to the International Monetary Fund. While there has been a recovery in stock markets and in the oil price, this has not been matched by the prospects of a return to growth in the global economy, Mr Bisignani said. “We don’t see any real recovery of the real economy... the goods traded around the world is still 21 per cent lower,” he said. The price of oil recently hit a seven-month high of $69.05 and IATA’s forecast of losses this year is based on oil at $50 a barrel. Oil at $50 a barrel would cost the airline industry $100-120 billion this year, less than last year’s $180 billion, IATA forecasts.

ORDERS TO DRY UP
According to Reuters estimates, some $500 billion of airline orders have been placed for this year. Difficulties in getting banks to finance purchases could see the number of planes delivered by Boeing Co and its European rival Airbus Industry drop by 30 per cent next year, Mr Bisignani said. “On the demand side (for planes), we have seen numbers dropping, in order to recover the same level of revenues we would take between 3 and 4 years, so probably there will be a shift in the need for capacity,” he said. The current downturn has hit carriers across the globe from wounded national giants such as Deutsche Lufthansa and British Airways. Even nimble budget airlines such as Ryanair which this week posted its first loss in 20 years thanks to a write down on an investment in Aer Lingus, have cut fares in order to try to grow passenger numbers at the expense of national carriers. Mr Bisginani called for an end to sweetheart deals for some low-cost carriers which see them paying lower fees for airports, but rejected calls for a bailout of the airline industry. “When an industry is losing billions and billions of dollars, we are not asking for bailouts, we are just asking, give us the opportunity to run this as a normal business and see if we are able to start making some money.” He said that a wave of industry consolidation would be unleashed if the US ended ownership caps by foreigners on its airlines and said he believed the industry could create value for stockholders. “The value chain shows that everybody makes money except the airlines. Manufacturers make money, make money in spare parts especially, airports make money because they run a monopoly service,” Mr Bisiginani said.

Source: June 05, 2009, The Hindu Business Line

7. Praful Patel, aviation chiefs may talk reforms today
Civil aviation minister Praful Patel is likely to meet airline and airport chiefs on Monday to discuss issues including a new ground handling policy and airport modernization. Also on the agenda will be speeding up the integration of Air India with the erstwhile Indian Airlines under the National Aviation Co. of India Ltd, or Nacil. Arvind Jadhav, an Indian Administrative Service officer, was recently appointed as Nacil’s chairman and managing director to pilot the merger. The ground handling policy becomes effective on 1 July. The policy mandates that airlines outsource ground handling at the airports to private operators selected for the job. Its implementation has already been delayed. Under the new policy, only Air India, the airport operator and a third private operator will be allowed to provide ground handling services from July. A person close to the development who did not want to be named, said the tenders for modernizing Udaipur and Amritsar airports would be floated as early as July as a part of the ambitious programme of modernizing 35 non metro airports. In April 2008, the ministry of civil aviation short­listed companies, including Larsen and Toubro Ltd, Tata group and GMR Infrastructure Ltd to develop the vast land banks at these airports. The bidders’ list was scrapped because of protests by airport employees who were against giving the additional mandate of developing terminal building to private parties. Another executive with a private company that was short­listed in the first selection said it had been told that tenders are likely to be floated around July. The executive didn’t want to be named. An Airports Authority of India, or AAI, board member, who requested anonymity, said the tenders will be floated “in a month” but the operator will retain management of terminal buildings. Several employees of the Delhi and Mumbai airport have been moved to these smaller airports after the two were privatized in 2006 and chose not to work under the new private management.

Source: June 01, 2009, Mint

8. The future lies in networks and cooperation
The global financial crisis has increased protectionism in some countries, raising questions about whether international business and global cooperation will recede. The past 25 years celebrated a culture of corporate triumphalism based on competition and profit-seeking. But, beneath the veneer of such a popular corporate ideology, a different economic trend has taken root — one that makes a return to protectionism or isolationism unlikely. Cooperation, as much as competition, is slowly being recognised, by evolutionary scientists and behavioural economists, as an engine of progress. Cooperation among companies is an integral part of the new model for business in a globalised economy. Today, the largest economic grouping is not the multinational corporation but the global industry network, consisting of companies that simultaneously compete and cooperate. The knowledge and service economy of the 21st century relies on a model of corporate “alliances” and “networks,” by breaking down the sequence of research, production and distribution — previously done in-house within the same company — over separate enterprises that take joint risks and share rewards over longer periods of time. Boeing used to build aircraft itself, with parts purchased from thousands of suppliers with whom its relationship was adversarial. Today it is a cooperative process. While Boeing guards proprietary technologies, the 787 ‘Dreamliner’ is built with major inputs from partners in seven nations, all part of the research and development team from the beginning, sharing in development costs and providing specialist knowledge that Boeing did not have. Each network “partner” incurs research and development costs based on faith and trust, with no assurance of recouping these outlays for a decade or more. Forgoing immediate gain, good ideas and technology are altruistically shared within the “network” of suppliers, even though there may be no immediate gain for that partner. However, the whole network gains. The altruistic member firm, sharing good ideas or incurring costs, does not demand immediate recompense, anticipating eventual reward because the other companies remember its contributions. The new network economy is based on forbearance and trust among cooperating firms, long-term memory and social networks, rather than formal contracts or directed hierarchies. Cooperating networks range from strategic to operational to tactical, with thousands of cooperative relationships worldwide. For many industries, a global scale of operations is mandatory for efficiency reasons. The huge costs of R&D or production in high-tech sectors make it too difficult for a single company to develop the product or brand, bear the risk and span all segments of the value chain on a global basis. The new alliance network economy provides more flexibility, lowers risk for each member company, and speeds response to changing markets or fashion conditions, more than is possible within a single firm. The value chain is outsourced over several companies, in different nations.

REVISED BUSINESS MODEL
Consequently, the basic model of business is being revised. The predominant model today is for each firm to find its core competence while collaborating with partners occupying other parts of the value chain. Each partner specialises in a function it does best or cheapest. For example, Nike specialises in design and marketing, outsourcing the production of shoes to its partners. Most outsourcing is not an arms-length transaction, but entails an intimate, cooperative relationship between the managements and engineers of the network firms. The better managed the relationship, the greater the performance of the alliance. The cooperative revolution is also aided by sweeping changes in the global regulatory environment such as the liberalisation of foreign direct investment rules, the international spread of intellectual-property enforcement, the harmonisation of standards and the codification of business functions. “Codification” simply means that companies make an effort to document management processes and engineering techniques that formerly resided in the minds of engineers and managers in the semiconductor, steel, chemical and many other industries. Another form of cooperation involves partners pooling resources for the same business function or piece of the value chain. More diverse talent is thereby tapped, costs are lowered and good ideas are gleaned — especially if the research is done abroad. Another motivation is simply to spread risk. The cost of a semiconductor fabrication factory being as much as $4 billion, few single firms can justify the investment. The entire pharmaceutical industry is evolving in that direction with ideas, costs, benefits and risk shared between large firms and their smaller biotechnology partners. To a degree unimagined just two decades ago, development risks are driving industries to recognise that global returns are mandatory for survival. Budgets for Hollywood movies are never set without an estimate of the non-US market profit potential. Besides codification of corporate knowledge and the IT revolution, a series of global institutional developments have also fostered international corporate alliances: Increased patenting makes technologies more visible to prospective allies. Better patent enforcement reduces fears that allies may engage in opportunistic behaviour. The old economy of objects emphasised mass production and ownership, control and vertical integration within a single company. An economy of ideas favours flexibility, customisation, rapid response and risk, reward and idea sharing within networks. Cooperating entities in a network attract others, which in itself increases value, reduces costs and promotes common standards.

Source: June 01, 2009, The Hindu Business Line

9. Ahmedabad-Frankfurt AI flight from June
State-run Air India will introduce direct flights from Ahmedabad to Frankfurt from June. With the introduction of the direct flight passengers travelling from Ahmedabad will be able to reach Frankfurt in 9 hours 15 minutes instead of the earlier 12 hours SO minutes.

Source: June 01, 2009, Hindustan Times

10. Airlines will now fly high with Wi-Fi
By the end of this year, about 1,000 airplanes flying domestic routes will have Wi-Fi service, according to Aircell, the company that has done nearly all the Wi-Fi installations so far. By the end of next year, 2,000 planes will have the service, Aircell says. That is roughly two-thirds of the mainline domestic fleet, which excludes regional jets. So Wi-Fi is clearly going to become a new standard, even though there is no compelling evidence that more than a fraction of passengers will pay for the connection. With prices running as much as $12.95 a flight, it is unclear if customers will be receptive to another extra charge. In the initial stage, the goal is just to encourage more business travellers to use Wi-Fi, once they know it’s going to be reliably available. Delta Air Lines, which says it will have more than 300 aircraft converted to Aircell’s Gogo Wi-Fi service by September, plans to offer discounts. “This summer we’re going to launch a pricing concept where you can buy a monthly membership, with a pricing scheme designed for frequent travellers,” said Ranjan Goswami, Delta’s director of customer experience. But airlines are looking at a possible second-generation market: Using that connection for enhanced in-flight entertainment. It costs about $100,000 a plane to install the Aircell system, which adds only 300 pounds of weight. Considering the far higher cost and weight for seatback digital video systems, financially struggling airlines face a tantalizing question. As more people tote personal hardware on board, whether laptop or notebook, can airlines avoid the cost of installing expensive seatback video? Aircell’s Wi-Fi system uses a large-capacity server, “so don’t be surprised in the future to see more and more content being added,” said Jack W Blumenstein, the chief executive. That means movies and other entertainment can be packaged on the ground and piped to the plane for viewing on passengers’ personal electronic devices, he said.

Source: June 01, 2009, Business Standard

11. Bidding for new airports by 2010 latest
Civil aviation minister Praful Patel on Monday hinted at floating an IPO for national carrier Air India “Fund infusion will be good for AI and bring in more accountability. There will be no privatisation or complete disinvestment of the national carrier, just partial,’’ he said, while not setting a time-frame. AI has sought an equity cum-soft loan to the tune of nearly Rs 4,000 crore. The merged AI-Indian Airlines entity has placed orders for 111 planes worth Rs 45,000 crore on an authorised capital of Rs 1,500 crore, while the paid-up capital is Rs 145 crore. In 2008-09, AI’s loss is expected to touch Rs 4,000 crore, up from Rs 2,226 crore in 2007-08. Patel said that UPA-II would not go in for brown field airport privatisation or modernisation via private-public partnership. “AAI will not be divested of any its airports. New airports can come up under the greenfield policy.’’ He added that bidding for constructing the new Navi Mumbai, Pune and Kanpur airports would start “latest by 2010’’.
Source: June 02, 2009, The Times Of India
 

Prepared by
Jennifer Kumar, BBA (NAU) Alumni
Skyline Business School
Hauz Khas Enclave, New Delhi 110 016
Tel: 2686 4848, 2652 4399
http://www.skylinecollege.com